Determining the trustworthiness and compatibility of a person

“Airbnb has a patent for AI that crawls and scrapes everything it can find on you, then judges whether you are conscientious & open or show signs of ‘neuroticism, involvement in crimes, narcissism, Machiavellianism, or psychopathy.’ Good luck challenging these judgments, too!”
Harvard researcher Frank Pasquale (@FrankPasquale), 17 January 2020, on AirBnB/Trooly patent 9070088, Determining trustworthiness and compatibility of a person.

Trooly unctuous

“…and now we’re looking at groups of historically marginalized people being denied involvement in mainstream economic, political, cultural and social activities — at scale.”
Your online activity is now effectively a social ‘credit score’, Especially when the Morality Police get acquired, by Violet Blue, Engadget, 17 January 2020

Trooly (a play on ‘truly’, ugh), crawls social media, news sites, police and court registries, credit bureaus and similar sites and uses AI to determine whether, say, an AirBnB renter, is likely to be trustworthy, in their opinion.

It does this on-demand in about 30 seconds, for a cost of about $1.

The quote in full context, below.

Trooly — [now used by] Airbnb — is combining social credit scores with predictive policing. Tools like PredPol use AI that combines data points and historical events, factors like race and location, digital footprints and crime statistics, to predict likelihood of when and where crimes will occur (as well as victims and perpetrators). It’s no secret that predictive policing replicates and perpetuates discrimination.

Combine this with companies like Instagram, Facebook, YouTube, and yes, Airbnb deciding what legal behaviors are acceptable for service, and now we’re looking at groups of historically marginalized people being denied involvement in mainstream economic, political, cultural and social activities — at scale.

Full and alarming incoherence

“In most circumstances, presenting information in as intelligible a form as possible is what we are trained for. But the shock I felt hearing half an hour of unfiltered meanderings from the president of the United States made me wonder whether the editing does our readers a disservice.”
As a foreign reporter visiting the US I was stunned by Trump's press conference, by Lenore Taylor, Editor of Guardian Australia. The Guardian, 20 September 2019

Lenore Taylor continues,

I’ve read so many stories about his bluster and boasting and ill-founded attacks, I’ve listened to speeches and hours of analysis, and yet I was still taken back by just how disjointed and meandering the unedited president could sound. Here he was trying to land the message that he had delivered at least something towards one of his biggest campaign promises and sounding like a construction manager with some long-winded and badly improvised sales lines.

I’d understood the dilemma of normalising Trump’s ideas and policies – the racism, misogyny and demonisation of the free press. But watching just one press conference from Otay Mesa helped me understand how the process of reporting about this president can mask and normalise his full and alarming incoherence.

And then nothing at all

“It also made me think of what life is basically like now: a calm foreground with an inferno on the horizon. And it struck me that this would be a thing that would happen at the end of the world. People would point their phones at the fire in the sky, and they would send photos to their friends in other places. ‘This is what the apocalypse looks like here,’ they would say. ‘How is it where you are?’ There would be a great storm of content and engagement, and then there would be nothing at all.”
Pictures of the world on fire won’t shock us for much longer, by Mark O'Connell, about the 2020 bush fires in Australia. The Guardian, 13 January 2020
“Our ads are always accurate so it’s good that Facebook won’t limit political messages because it encourages more Americans to be involved in the process. This is much better than the approaches from Twitter and Google, which will lead to voter suppression.”
— Trump campaign spokesman Tim Murtaugh, as quoted in Facebook Says It Won’t Back Down From Allowing Lies in Political Ads, by Mike Isaac and Cecilia Kang, New York Times, 9 January 2020
“How many lives did Katie Porter save today using a whiteboard, a bullshit detector, and an ability to retain focus?”
— Writer Hart Hanson, on Congressional Representative Katie Porter's (Democrat, California) questioning of Robert R. Redfield, director of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. In a televised Congressional hearing that has gone viral, Rep. Porter persuaded the CDC director to fund Covid-19 tests for all Americans for free. Via The Hill.

Also sometimes really dumb

“We are a unique species and have various ways in which we are exceptionally different from every other creature on the planet, but we're also sometimes really dumb.”
Julia Watzek

Watzek was the lead author of a paper published in Scientific Reports illustrating how capuchin and rhesus macaque monkeys were significantly less susceptible than humans to "cognitive set" bias when presented a chance to switch to a more efficient option. The research results supported earlier studies with fellow primates, baboons and chimpanzees, who also showed a greater willingness to use optional shortcuts to earn a treat compared to humans who persisted in using a familiar learned strategy despite its relative inefficiency.

“I think we're less and less surprised when primates outsmart humans sometimes,” Watzek said.

The "Science" Channel is hurting America

sciencechannel.jpg

The Covid-19 pandemic is shining new light on America’s dysfunctional relationship with scientific literacy.

From Trump on down, elected officials, business and civic leaders, and regular-old-citizens are making choices about the virus that seem to reflect a less-than-stellar understanding of infectious diseases, the immune system, and public health.

Trump is generally baffled by everything having to do with Covid-19 and has stated that the virus can be defeated with the seasonal influenza vaccine.

Republican Senator Tom Cotton is fixated on conspiracy theories.

Talk show host Bill Maher went down the rabbit hole with a misleading comparison of mortality counts, get-over-it fatalism (“People die. That’s what happens in life. I’m sorry”) and statements comparing the pandemic to Y2K and the 2010 BP Deepwater Horizon oil rig accident in 2010.

New York Times columnist Russ Douthat told his audience “Just go on a cruise, two weeks it’ll be over.”

And tycoon Elon Musk Tweeted on March 6 that “The coronavirus panic is dumb,” a statement that has garnered 1.7m likes even as “top officials at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention have warned that a large-scale outbreak of the disease occurring in the U.S. is possible in the coming weeks.” (via The Hill.)

Churlishness and ignorance is nothing new among public figures in the United States, alas, but with Covid-19 now showing signs of exponential growth in the US the short-term consequences of a less-than-constructive public dialogue may be extreme.

And the public’s background knowledge and ability to make sound judgments in this arena is thin to begin with.

72% of Americans are scientifically illiterate and 70% of Americans “cannot read and understand the science section of the New York Times, according to a 2007 study reported by Science Daily

All of this has renewed a conversation in my family about the role cable TV science programming has played in making Americans dumber.

So I was interested to learn through archaeologist Sarah Parcak that a Mr. Mark Etkind, formerly the General Manager of of the Science Channel, has left his job.

Mr. Etkind, who spent 12 years at the Science Channel and Discovery (the channel’s parent company), was responsible for creating programs such as,

  • Finding Bigfoot

  • Call of the Wildman

  • Gator Boys

  • Pitbulls and Parolees

  • BBQ Pitmasters

  • Hillbilly Blood

  • Buying Alaska

  • Monsters & Mysteries in America 

  • United States of Bacon

  • Mountain Monsters

  • Buying the Bayou

  • Last Call Food Brawl

I remember being excited, long ago, at the prospect of having new cable TV channels devoted to science and history, but the dream of great programming was short lived as reality programming and low-caliber, lowest-common-denominator dreck filled the channels 24-hours a day.

And I wonder, as we confront the grim reality of a runaway pandemic in the United States and elsewhere, if an American watching the last 10 years of the Science Channel, Discovery, the Smithsonian Channel, the History Channel, and National Geographic would have picked up enough background information and critical thinking skill to be able to grasp the significance of Covid-19 and make good decisions for themselves, their families, and their communities.

Given what I’ve seen of the programming on these channels I’m guessing not. (Though I will make an exception for Mythbusters, one of the best “popular” shows about scientific method and critical thinking, ever.)

Unusable

Whereas a social movement has to persuade people to act, a government or a powerful group defending the status quo only has to create enough confusion to paralyze people into inaction. The internet's relatively chaotic nature, with too much information and weak gatekeepers, can asymmetrically empower governments by allowing them to develop new forms of censorship based not on blocking information, but on making available information unusable.
Zeynep Tufekci, Twitter and Tear Gas: The Power and Fragility of Networked Protest, 2017. Introduction.
“My fear is that homo sapiens are not just up to it. We have created such a complicated world that we’re no longer able to make sense of what is happening.”
— Israili historian and author Yavul Harari, on the difficulty of acting morally in a fast and complex world. From What’s Next for Humanity: Automation, New Morality and a ‘Global Useless Class’, by Kimiko de Freytas-Tamura, New York Times, 19 March 2018

Long-term backwards vision

Instead of formulating meaningful visions for where humankind will be in 2050, [our leaders] repackage nostalgic fantasies about the past — and there’s a kind of competition: who can look back further. Trump wants to go back to the 1950s; Putin basically wants to go back to the Czarist Empire, and you have the Islamic State that wants to go back to seventh-century Arabia. Israel — they beat everybody. They want to go back 2,500 years to the age of the Bible, so we win. We have the longest-term vision backwards.
Israili historian and author Yuval Harari, from What’s Next for Humanity: Automation, New Morality and a ‘Global Useless Class’, by Kimiko de Freytas-Tamura, New York Times, 19 March 2018

The dumbest true statement

One night in December of 2019, I was up until 3 a.m. watching TikToks in bed, and woke up with a sore shoulder from holding the phone up at a weird angle. Since “I pulled my shoulder watching TikToks in bed” is the dumbest true statement I've had to make in quite some time, I have since been good about not bringing the iPhone 6S Plus to bed. I leave it on my desk and read instead. I can't overstate what a positive effect this has had on my life.
Emanuel Maiberg, After 1,434 Days of Testing, My Review of the iPhone 6S Plus: A fine and durable phone for a hard and horrible world, Motherboard, 13 February 2020

It does not spark joy

The smartphone is a window into the world. The bigger the window, the more of the world you see, and the world is often bad. This is the screen that quivers and glows in the middle of the night with ominous texts. It's the screen I leaned up on my nightstand and watched as I fell asleep to a live video of Trump's 2016 election victory speech. It's the phone that rings when my parents need to tell me that someone has cancer or has died. For some reason I only have bad memories of the phone, though I know that it has delivered good news as well. It does not spark joy.
After 1,434 Days of Testing, My Review of the iPhone 6S Plus: A fine and durable phone for a hard and horrible world by Emanuel Maiberg, Motherboard, 13 February 2020

Election 2020

“It's disappointing that the state has this rule in place, that the voters would have to vote using the system we want to replace in order to have the system that we want to replace be replaced.”
Shelby County Tennessee Commissioner Mick Wright, on the county's inability to upgrade voting machines before the upcoming 2020 elections, Ballot Bombshell: Election Machine Issue Becomes Moot by Jackson Baker, The Memphis Flyer, 13 February 2020. Via Jennifer Cohn (@jennycohn1). As Orwellian as this sounds, Commissioner Wright, a Republican in a county known for voting rights abuses, wants to replace the current crappy system with one that uses Ballot Marking Devices — a tech @jennycohn1 has convinced me is *bad news for democracy*.

The big stuff can never get done

“Any strategy that involves crossing a valley — accepting short-term losses to reach a higher hill in the distance — will soon be brought to a halt by the demands of a system that celebrates short-term gains and tolerates stagnation, but condemns anything else as failure. In short, a world where big stuff can never get done.”
Innovation Starvation by Neal Stephenson, Wired, 27 October 2011